EP 120
Where Does Value Go? The AI Market Correction, CoreWeave's Crisis and the Operation Loop
Over the past two weeks, shares of Korean memory chipmakers have fallen more than 40% from their peaks, while CoreWeave’s bond yields and CDS spread have surged, reviving talk of an “AI bubble.” This correction looks less like a sign of weakening demand and more like a temporary shock driven by financial conditions such as interest rates, short selling, and mismatched contract terms. Through the lens that “value flows to scarcity that cannot leak,” data and talent will eventually spread, narrowing the gap between Frontier Labs and Near Frontier Labs and making models more like commodities. Value then moves to businesses that own operation loops Frontier Labs cannot capture. The episode covers data center financing, the order in which Labs will target different domains, and seven indicators for spotting a turning point in the market.